GEELONG won't be able to offer a first-round draft pick from this year or next to potentially secure Shaun Higgins or Jack Steven unless it can trade another one in beforehand.

The Cats are the only club in the competition that must use its 2019 first-round selection, with the AFL's rule on trading first-round picks kicking in this year. 

TRADING FIRST-ROUND PICKS Misunderstood rule explained

They also can't trade their top 2020 choice in this year's NAB AFL Trade Period, because they used just one first-round selection in the past four drafts from 2015 to 2018.

The exception to that is where a club has applied for and received special permission, with the AFL weighing up the age of the players brought in and other draft picks used in that time.

However, Geelong is unlikely to have a strong case in that scenario, because it traded for older players such as Zach Tuohy (who was almost 27), Lachie Henderson (almost 26) and then-25-year-old Patrick Dangerfield. 

Tim Kelly's decision on his future will have a major say on the Cats' situation.

Any Kelly suitor – he met with West Coast and Fremantle in recent weeks – would almost certainly need to shell out at least one first-round selection. 

Tim Kelly made the Virgin Australia AFL All Australian team. Picture: AFL Photos

If Kelly is to go, Geelong would need that deal to be completed before acquiring North Melbourne's Higgins or St Kilda's Steven, assuming their current teams demand a first-round pick be part of any transaction.

Both Higgins and Steven have been linked with a move to the Cattery despite each having one more season to run on their contracts.

Every other club has met the four-year requirement of using at least two selections, including Collingwood, Hawthorn, Melbourne and West Coast, which all managed the bare minimum.

PICK TWO ON THE TABLE Dees looking to 'split' top selection

The Hawks and Demons would go into deficit for 2020 if they also trade their first-round picks this year – without adding another – with their two selections from 2015 dropping off for next year's Trade Period.

Neither club has drafted in the first round since. 

ANALYSIS Why it's time for the Hawks to hit the draft

Essendon will be in the same situation next year unless it can trade in an extra one, because it sent its 2018 and 2019 first-round picks to Greater Western Sydney as part of the Dylan Shiel swap.

The Bombers' two first-round selections in 2015 will also drop off the rolling four-year mandate.

They would be the last clubs to ever be in deficit now that the rule starts this year, and would need to keep using their first-round picks until they again reached the minimum requirement.

The rule, outlined in the AFL's Determination for the trading of future draft selections document, is designed to protect teams from trading themselves into long-term trouble.

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Your club's first-round draft picks

CLUB

2015

2016

2017

2018

TOTAL

2016-18

2019*

Adelaide

2

1

1

2

6

4

1

Brisbane

2

2

3

1

8

6

1

Carlton

3^

1

2

2

8

5

1

Collingwood

0

0

1

1

2

2

0

Essendon

2

1

0

0

3

1

0

Fremantle

0

1

2

1

4

4

1

Geelong

0

0

0

1

1

1

1

Gold Coast

2

4

0^

3^

9

7

2

GWS Giants

3

4

1

3

11

8

2

Hawthorn

2

0

0

0

2

0

1

Melbourne

2

0

0

0

2

0

1

North Melbourne

1

1

1

1

4

3

1

Port Adelaide

0

2

0

3

5

5

1

Richmond

1

0

1

1

3

2

1

St Kilda

1

0

2

1

4

3

1

Sydney

1

1^

1

1

4

3

1

West Coast

0

1

1

0

2

2

1

Western Bulldogs

0

1

2

1

4

4

1

* 2019 draft picks can change

^ Carlton used an end-of-first-round compensation pick in 2015, Sydney received Brisbane's end-of-first-round priority pick in 2016, and Gold Coast received Geelong's end-of-first-round free agency compensation pick in 2017 and West Coast's in 2018. None count as a first-round pick for these purposes. 

Indicative draft order after round 23
ROUND ONE
GCFC1. Gold Coast
MELB2. Melbourne
ADEL3. Adelaide (tied to Carlton)
SYD4. Sydney
STK5. St Kilda
FRE6. Fremantle
NMFC7. North Melbourne
CARL8. Carlton (tied to Adelaide)
PORT9. Port Adelaide
HAW10. Hawthorn
GWS11. Greater Western Sydney (tied to Essendon)
WB12. Western Bulldogs
GWS13. Greater Western Sydney
WCE14. West Coast
BL15. Brisbane (tied to Collingwood)
RICH16. Richmond
GCFC17. Gold Coast (tied to Brisbane)
GEEL18. Geelong
ROUND TWO
BL19. Brisbane (tied to Gold Coast)
MELB20. Melbourne
ADEL21. Adelaide (tied to Carlton)
WCE22. West Coast (tied to Sydney)
SYD23. Sydney (tied to St Kilda)
FRE24. Fremantle
NMFC25. North Melbourne
ADEL26. Adelaide
PORT27. Port Adelaide
HAW28. Hawthorn
ESS29. Essendon
WB30. Western Bulldogs
ESS31. Essendon (tied to Greater Western Sydney)
WCE32. West Coast
COLL33. Collingwood
RICH34. Richmond
BL35. Brisbane
GEEL36. Geelong
ROUND THREE
RICH37. Richmond (tied to Gold Coast)
MELB38. Melbourne
CARL39. Carlton
SYD40. Sydney
WB41. Western Bulldogs (tied to St Kilda)
BL42. Brisbane (tied to Fremantle)
NMFC43. North Melbourne
CARL44. Carlton (tied to Adelaide)
HAW45. Hawthorn (tied to Port Adelaide)
WB46. Western Bulldogs (tied to Hawthorn)
ESS47. Essendon
WB48. Western Bulldogs
GWS49. Greater Western Sydney
SYD50. Sydney (tied to West Coast)
COLL51. Collingwood
GCFC52. Gold Coast (tied to Richmond)
BL53. Brisbane
GEEL54. Geelong
ROUND FOUR
STK55. St Kilda (tied to Gold Coast)
MELB56. Melbourne
SYD57. Sydney (tied to Carlton)
SYD58. Sydney
WCE59. West Coast (tied to St Kilda)
ESS60. Essendon (tied to Fremantle)
PORT61. Port Adelaide (tied to North Melbourne)
PORT62. Port Adelaide (tied to Adelaide)
PORT63. Port Adelaide
COLL64. Collingwood (tied to Hawthorn)
ESS65. Essendon
PORT66. Port Adelaide (tied to Western Bulldogs)
CARL67. Carlton (tied to Greater Western Sydney)
STK68. St Kilda (tied to West Coast)
COLL69. Collingwood
RICH70. Richmond
NMFC71. North Melbourne
RICH72. Richmond (tied to Geelong)
ROUND FIVE
GCFC73. Gold Coast
MELB74. Melbourne
GWS75. Greater Western Sydney (tied to Carlton)
SYD76. Sydney
STK77. St Kilda
FRE78. Fremantle
NMFC79. North Melbourne
CARL80.Carlton (tied to Adelaide)
PORT81. Port Adelaide
HAW82. Hawthorn
ESS83. Essendon
WB84. Western Bulldogs
GWS85. Greater Western Sydney
GCFC86. Gold Coast (tied to West Coast)
HAW87. Hawthorn (tied to Collingwood)
RICH88. Richmond
BL89. Brisbane
GEEL90. Geelong
Club-by-club draft picks
YOUR CLUB'S PICKS
ADEL3, 21, 26
BL15, 19, 35, 42, 53, 89
CARL8, 39, 44, 67, 80
COLL33, 51, 64, 69
ESS29, 31, 47, 60, 65, 83
FRE6, 24, 78
GEEL18, 36, 54, 90
GCFC1, 17, 52, 73, 86
GWS11, 13, 49, 75, 85
HAW10, 28, 45, 82, 87
MELB2, 20, 38, 56, 74
NMFC7, 25, 43, 71, 79
PORT9, 27, 61, 62, 63, 66, 81
RICH16, 34, 37, 70, 72, 88
STK5, 55, 68, 77
SYD4, 23, 40, 50, 57, 58, 76
WCE14, 22, 32, 59
WB12, 30, 41, 46, 48, 84
Draft value index
ROUND ONE  ROUND TWOROUND THREEROUND FOURROUND FIVE
Pick/PtsPick/PtsPick/PtsPick/PtsPick/Pts
1. 300019. 94837. 48355. 20773. 9
2. 251720. 91238. 46556. 19474. -
3. 223421. 87839. 44657. 182 
4. 203422. 84540. 42958. 170 
5. 187823. 81541. 41259. 158 
6. 175124. 78542. 39560. 146 
7. 164425. 75643. 37861. 135 
8. 155126. 72944. 36262. 123 
9. 146927. 70345. 34763. 112 
10. 139528. 67746. 33164. 101 
11. 132929. 65347. 31665. 90 
12. 126830. 62948. 30266. 80 
13. 121231. 60649. 28767. 69 
14. 116132. 58450. 27368. 59 
15. 111233. 56351. 25969. 49 
16. 106734. 54252. 24670. 39 
17. 102535. 52253. 23371. 29 
18. 98536. 50254. 22072. 19